Sneaky Pivot on gold (spec snx_spec.md), CORRECTED clock. Run 2026-10-23T06:47:57.863Z; 500 control runs per variant. Net of $0.30 an ounce a round trip; 15-minute bars from 08:20 New York, exit by 13:30. data: 7067434 minutes 2004-06-11 00:19 .. 2026-10-07 16:57 New York; 5336 usable days, 5297 trading days usable / trading days by year: 2004 50/26 | 2005 96/90 | 2006 156/151 | 2007 244/243 | 2008 256/256 | 2009 255/255 | 2010 243/243 | 2011 242/240 | 2012 244/243 | 2013 258/258 | 2014 258/258 | 2015 257/257 | 2016 258/258 | 2017 257/257 | 2018 258/258 | 2019 258/258 | 2020 259/259 | 2021 257/257 | 2022 258/258 | 2023 257/257 | 2024 259/259 | 2025 258/258 | 2026 198/198 bar 1 (08:21-08:35) reached the range low on 19.9% of days (25.3% within the near tolerance), the range high on 26.4% (32.7%); both on 5 from 08:36 to 13:30 the range low broke on 1784 days: price reached the swing low later that day on 54.9% (no swing low on 9), and came back to the range high on 3.4% from 08:36 to 13:30 the range high broke on 2105 days: price reached the swing high later that day on 51.8% (no swing high on 165), and came back to the range low on 3.5% === SX-STRICT-T1: bar 1 touches the range line; target bar 1's far end === DEV n= 178 net -$4.49 avg -$0.03 PF 0.97 t -0.12 VAL n= 231 net -$74.32 avg -$0.32 PF 0.72 t -1.86 HOLDOUT n= 203 net -$15.88 avg -$0.08 PF 0.97 t -0.14 ALL n=612 net -$94.69 avg -$0.15 an ounce a trade (gross +$0.15); in R: net -0.036, gross 0.068; PF 0.90 t -0.74; drawdown on closed trades -$215.85 winners 61.8% (95% 57.9-65.5%); ended by target 406 (66.3%), stop 190 (31.0%), 13:30 close 16 (2.6%); risk median $3.36, target distance median $1.84; sneaky on bar 3: 278; minutes held median 16; without the 10 best -$278.50 longs n=264 net -$122.41 | shorts n=348 net +$27.72 by year (n, net): 2005 5 -$1.34 | 2006 14 -$7.48 | 2007 25 +$14.97 | 2008 25 +$0.53 | 2009 25 +$2.44 | 2010 20 -$8.54 | 2011 26 -$6.53 | 2012 38 +$1.46 | 2013 37 -$43.45 | 2014 40 -$2.73 | 2015 28 -$7.77 | 2016 33 +$12.12 | 2017 36 -$4.81 | 2018 27 -$5.95 | 2019 30 -$21.73 | 2020 26 -$15.84 | 2021 30 +$15.27 | 2022 35 +$27.23 | 2023 25 -$19.98 | 2024 31 +$26.84 | 2025 31 +$12.60 | 2026 25 -$62.00 control (trades moved to other days, same minute, 500 runs, 1 s): mean trades 612.00, median avg -$0.31, 5-95% -$0.53 .. -$0.10; real avg -$0.15 at percentile 88.00 [FAIL] 1 PF >= 1.2 in validation: VAL PF 0.72 [PASS] 2 >= 50 trades in each period: 178 / 231 / 203 [FAIL] 3 t >= 2.5 on development: DEV t -0.12 [FAIL] 4 above 95th pct of the control: percentile 88.00 [FAIL] 5 positive without top-10 trades: -$278.50 [FAIL] 6 holdout net positive (flagged used): HOLDOUT net -$15.88 PF 0.97 VERDICT Buried (1/6 gates) rule 3: 151 trades touching a known hole; without them avg -$0.12, gates 2/6 -> Buried (verdict unchanged) === SX-STRICT-T2: bar 1 touches the range line; target the opposite range line === DEV n= 419 net -$75.37 avg -$0.18 PF 0.92 t -0.66 VAL n= 416 net -$106.80 avg -$0.26 PF 0.86 t -1.11 HOLDOUT n= 386 net -$236.90 avg -$0.61 PF 0.89 t -0.76 ALL n=1221 net -$419.07 avg -$0.34 an ounce a trade (gross -$0.04); in R: net -0.022, gross 0.068; PF 0.89 t -1.21; drawdown on closed trades -$627.12 winners 39.3% (95% 36.6-42.1%); ended by target 74 (6.1%), 13:30 close 523 (42.8%), stop 624 (51.1%); risk median $4.02, target distance median $18.99; sneaky on bar 3: 405; minutes held median 147; without the 10 best -$940.43 longs n=536 net -$404.87 | shorts n=685 net -$14.20 by year (n, net): 2004 4 +$0.28 | 2005 13 -$10.23 | 2006 32 -$12.34 | 2007 58 -$5.24 | 2008 64 -$40.37 | 2009 71 +$21.69 | 2010 58 -$3.22 | 2011 52 -$55.24 | 2012 67 +$29.30 | 2013 61 -$158.59 | 2014 69 +$33.40 | 2015 47 -$18.75 | 2016 54 +$2.43 | 2017 72 +$33.28 | 2018 60 -$5.38 | 2019 53 +$6.81 | 2020 53 -$66.37 | 2021 51 +$28.53 | 2022 58 +$90.88 | 2023 52 +$5.71 | 2024 55 +$44.01 | 2025 66 +$86.25 | 2026 51 -$425.91 control (trades moved to other days, same minute, 500 runs, 1 s): mean trades 1221.00, median avg -$0.22, 5-95% -$0.53 .. +$0.04; real avg -$0.34 at percentile 26.40 [FAIL] 1 PF >= 1.2 in validation: VAL PF 0.86 [PASS] 2 >= 50 trades in each period: 419 / 416 / 386 [FAIL] 3 t >= 2.5 on development: DEV t -0.66 [FAIL] 4 above 95th pct of the control: percentile 26.40 [FAIL] 5 positive without top-10 trades: -$940.43 [FAIL] 6 holdout net positive (flagged used): HOLDOUT net -$236.90 PF 0.89 VERDICT Buried (1/6 gates) rule 3: 368 trades touching a known hole; without them avg -$0.29, gates 1/6 -> Buried (verdict unchanged) === SX-NEAR-T1: bar 1 within 10% of the average range; target bar 1's far end === DEV n= 224 net +$4.22 avg +$0.02 PF 1.02 t 0.10 VAL n= 289 net -$51.29 avg -$0.18 PF 0.83 t -1.19 HOLDOUT n= 264 net -$46.94 avg -$0.18 PF 0.93 t -0.37 ALL n=777 net -$94.01 avg -$0.12 an ounce a trade (gross +$0.18); in R: net -0.027, gross 0.079; PF 0.92 t -0.67; drawdown on closed trades -$225.66 winners 62.9% (95% 59.5-66.3%); ended by target 524 (67.4%), stop 234 (30.1%), 13:30 close 19 (2.4%); risk median $3.30, target distance median $1.73; sneaky on bar 3: 354; minutes held median 15; without the 10 best -$288.16 longs n=341 net -$144.56 | shorts n=436 net +$50.55 by year (n, net): 2004 1 +$0.99 | 2005 6 -$1.34 | 2006 22 -$1.34 | 2007 32 +$19.32 | 2008 27 +$1.51 | 2009 30 -$7.30 | 2010 24 -$4.17 | 2011 33 -$7.47 | 2012 49 +$4.02 | 2013 50 -$27.13 | 2014 41 -$1.97 | 2015 35 -$3.85 | 2016 41 +$14.78 | 2017 45 -$4.93 | 2018 37 -$3.99 | 2019 40 -$24.20 | 2020 33 -$29.77 | 2021 36 +$13.41 | 2022 47 +$20.47 | 2023 33 -$34.40 | 2024 39 +$22.20 | 2025 41 -$0.24 | 2026 35 -$38.61 control (trades moved to other days, same minute, 500 runs, 1 s): mean trades 777.00, median avg -$0.31, 5-95% -$0.50 .. -$0.13; real avg -$0.12 at percentile 95.40 [FAIL] 1 PF >= 1.2 in validation: VAL PF 0.83 [PASS] 2 >= 50 trades in each period: 224 / 289 / 264 [FAIL] 3 t >= 2.5 on development: DEV t 0.10 [PASS] 4 above 95th pct of the control: percentile 95.40 [FAIL] 5 positive without top-10 trades: -$288.16 [FAIL] 6 holdout net positive (flagged used): HOLDOUT net -$46.94 PF 0.93 VERDICT Buried (2/6 gates) rule 3: 195 trades touching a known hole; without them avg -$0.11, gates 2/6 -> Buried (verdict unchanged) === SX-NEAR-T2: bar 1 within 10% of the average range; target the opposite range line === DEV n= 532 net -$27.71 avg -$0.05 PF 0.98 t -0.21 VAL n= 522 net -$90.67 avg -$0.17 PF 0.91 t -0.85 HOLDOUT n= 493 net -$355.84 avg -$0.72 PF 0.86 t -1.08 ALL n=1547 net -$474.22 avg -$0.31 an ounce a trade (gross -$0.01); in R: net -0.028, gross 0.064; PF 0.90 t -1.28; drawdown on closed trades -$672.97 winners 39.0% (95% 36.6-41.5%); ended by target 123 (8.0%), stop 787 (50.9%), 13:30 close 637 (41.2%); risk median $3.98, target distance median $17.62; sneaky on bar 3: 498; minutes held median 138; without the 10 best -$1000.18 longs n=679 net -$398.65 | shorts n=868 net -$75.57 by year (n, net): 2004 7 -$4.04 | 2005 15 -$11.23 | 2006 45 +$16.97 | 2007 78 -$10.25 | 2008 80 -$38.92 | 2009 84 +$23.28 | 2010 68 +$3.73 | 2011 69 -$61.67 | 2012 86 +$54.42 | 2013 78 -$132.52 | 2014 78 +$15.20 | 2015 61 -$20.18 | 2016 73 +$15.44 | 2017 88 +$39.17 | 2018 73 -$3.00 | 2019 71 -$4.78 | 2020 64 -$109.98 | 2021 69 +$38.77 | 2022 79 +$35.30 | 2023 69 +$17.45 | 2024 66 +$64.56 | 2025 81 +$74.04 | 2026 65 -$475.98 control (trades moved to other days, same minute, 500 runs, 1 s): mean trades 1547.00, median avg -$0.23, 5-95% -$0.48 .. +$0.01; real avg -$0.31 at percentile 30.40 [FAIL] 1 PF >= 1.2 in validation: VAL PF 0.91 [PASS] 2 >= 50 trades in each period: 532 / 522 / 493 [FAIL] 3 t >= 2.5 on development: DEV t -0.21 [FAIL] 4 above 95th pct of the control: percentile 30.40 [FAIL] 5 positive without top-10 trades: -$1000.18 [FAIL] 6 holdout net positive (flagged used): HOLDOUT net -$355.84 PF 0.86 VERDICT Buried (1/6 gates) rule 3: 470 trades touching a known hole; without them avg -$0.32, gates 1/6 -> Buried (verdict unchanged) Corrected vs uncorrected vs clock-audit clock (n, avg $/oz, DEV net and t, gates, verdict): SX-STRICT-T1 corrected n=612 avg -$0.15 DEV -$4.49 t -0.12 1/6 Buried | uncorrected n=613 avg -$0.15 DEV -$4.49 t -0.12 1/6 Buried | clock-audit n=648 avg -$0.18 DEV -$31.24 t -0.67 1/6 Buried SX-STRICT-T2 corrected n=1221 avg -$0.34 DEV -$75.37 t -0.66 1/6 Buried | uncorrected n=1230 avg -$0.38 DEV -$75.37 t -0.66 1/6 Buried | clock-audit n=1222 avg -$0.36 DEV -$44.99 t -0.36 1/6 Buried SX-NEAR-T1 corrected n=777 avg -$0.12 DEV +$4.22 t 0.10 2/6 Buried | uncorrected n=778 avg -$0.12 DEV +$4.22 t 0.10 2/6 Buried | clock-audit n=820 avg -$0.14 DEV -$16.01 t -0.32 1/6 Buried SX-NEAR-T2 corrected n=1547 avg -$0.31 DEV -$27.71 t -0.21 1/6 Buried | uncorrected n=1558 avg -$0.35 DEV -$27.71 t -0.21 1/6 Buried | clock-audit n=1554 avg -$0.35 DEV -$17.43 t -0.12 1/6 Buried